Biological immortality in 30 years?
My prediction: No. in the next 10 years, there will be no breakthroughs. People will age and die; there will be no network states, or they will be empty with few people residing in them. There will be a failure of logevity projects and a lack of financing. People do not want to move to isolated communitites.
In the next 20 years, billionaires will improve their healthspan, yes. This will be mostly via organ transplants from bodyoids, but they will not live longer than 120 years. In vivo cellular reprogramming will not be happening. We do not know what to reprogram; and forget about Yamanaka factors: we do not make a human into stem cells because of cancer.
In 30 years, there will likely be a WW3 of some kind. Nobody will care about longevity. People will fight for food and with each other. Of course, wartime passes and life returns to normal. Maybe a lunar base will exist. Many generations will still die. There is no cure.
Page published: April 30, 2026